U.S. Crash Confidence Index

Stock Market Confidence Indices

Crash Index - Institutional
Date Index Value Standard Error
Oct 1989 36.99 4.00
Apr 1990 25.76 3.81
Oct 1990 18.25 3.30
Apr 1991 31.58 4.03
Oct 1991 37.18 3.87
Apr 1992 28.16 3.41
Oct 1992 27.87 4.06
Apr 1993 23.62 3.77
Oct 1993 28.23 4.04
Apr 1994 33.61 4.33
Oct 1994 31.76 5.05
Apr 1995 33.33 5.05
Oct 1995 41.49 5.08
Apr 1996 22.22 4.62
Oct 1996 41.77 5.55
Apr 1997 30.97 4.35
Oct 1997 36.99 5.65
Apr 1998 25.00 3.83
Oct 1998 22.12 4.07
Apr 1999 26.27 4.05
Oct 1999 25.00 5.25
Apr 2000 26.23 5.63
Oct 2000 30.00 8.37
Apr 2001 31.58 6.16
Jul 2001 27.27 4.75
Aug 2001 26.37 4.62
Sep 2001 26.60 4.56
Oct 2001 22.47 4.42
Nov 2001 24.27 4.22
Dec 2001 25.00 3.95
Jan 2002 24.77 4.13
Feb 2002 29.60 4.08
Mar 2002 31.11 3.98
Apr 2002 32.58 4.08
May 2002 33.07 4.17
Jun 2002 36.04 4.56
Jul 2002 40.21 4.98
Aug 2002 30.93 4.69
Sep 2002 25.47 4.23
Oct 2002 23.58 4.12
Nov 2002 21.15 4.00
Dec 2002 23.42 4.02
Jan 2003 24.58 3.96
Feb 2003 31.25 4.38
Mar 2003 42.55 4.16
Apr 2003 44.85 4.26
May 2003 48.51 4.32
Jun 2003 49.61 4.40
Jul 2003 50.36 4.24
Aug 2003 51.63 4.04
Sep 2003 48.82 4.44
Oct 2003 47.45 4.27
Nov 2003 47.54 4.52
Dec 2003 43.09 4.47
Jan 2004 42.50 4.51
Feb 2004 35.85 4.66
Mar 2004 35.40 4.50
Apr 2004 38.05 4.57
May 2004 39.37 4.34
Jun 2004 43.08 4.34
Jul 2004 41.35 4.27
Aug 2004 43.31 4.40
Sep 2004 41.75 4.86
Oct 2004 43.88 5.01
Nov 2004 47.71 4.78
Dec 2004 46.96 4.65
Jan 2005 52.00 5.00
Feb 2005 50.00 4.81
Mar 2005 50.40 4.47
Apr 2005 43.48 4.22
May 2005 40.65 4.43
Jun 2005 43.28 4.28
Jul 2005 45.21 4.12
Aug 2005 44.65 3.94
Sep 2005 46.26 4.11
Oct 2005 48.57 4.22
Nov 2005 50.00 4.20
Dec 2005 50.76 4.35
Jan 2006 47.97 4.50
Feb 2006 53.27 4.82
Mar 2006 53.64 4.75
Apr 2006 57.95 5.26
May 2006 57.81 6.17
Jun 2006 49.30 5.93
Jul 2006 48.35 5.24
Aug 2006 40.74 4.73
Sep 2006 40.00 4.67
Oct 2006 43.22 4.56
Nov 2006 45.39 4.19
Dec 2006 49.62 4.34
Jan 2007 49.57 4.62
Feb 2007 57.29 5.05
Mar 2007 54.84 5.16
Apr 2007 53.19 5.15
May 2007 45.74 5.14
Jun 2007 38.24 4.17
Jul 2007 37.89 3.52
Aug 2007 34.80 3.01
Sep 2007 34.41 2.84
Oct 2007 36.15 2.59
Nov 2007 36.39 2.58
Dec 2007 35.18 2.51
Jan 2008 34.53 2.40
Feb 2008 36.89 2.52
Mar 2008 36.41 2.51
Apr 2008 34.64 2.61
May 2008 36.75 2.57
Jun 2008 38.37 2.62
Jul 2008 38.51 2.83
Aug 2008 34.84 2.71
Sep 2008 35.23 2.85
Oct 2008 29.05 2.51
Nov 2008 23.48 2.28
Dec 2008 20.58 2.29
Jan 2009 18.15 2.21
Feb 2009 18.02 2.28
Mar 2009 18.55 2.34
Apr 2009 20.94 2.94
May 2009 22.92 3.50
Jun 2009 26.40 3.14
Jul 2009 27.60 3.23
Aug 2009 29.35 3.36
Sep 2009 29.36 2.97
Oct 2009 29.37 2.78
Nov 2009 30.96 2.76
Dec 2009 31.98 3.13
Jan 2010 33.33 3.28
Feb 2010 32.55 3.22
Mar 2010 35.71 3.55
Apr 2010 36.84 3.69
May 2010 37.50 4.03
Jun 2010 34.07 4.08
Jul 2010 33.83 4.10
Aug 2010 36.00 3.92
Sep 2010 33.06 4.22
Oct 2010 33.52 3.53
Nov 2010 31.63 3.17
Dec 2010 32.84 3.31
Jan 2011 33.52 3.53
Feb 2011 33.47 3.01
Mar 2011 34.93 2.60
Apr 2011 35.43 2.75
May 2011 36.86 2.91
Jun 2011 36.19 2.71
Jul 2011 35.48 2.59
Aug 2011 33.57 2.82
Sep 2011 26.84 2.92
Oct 2011 24.89 2.91
Nov 2011 24.17 2.95
Dec 2011 22.03 2.70
Jan 2012 22.80 2.65
Feb 2012 24.50 2.73
Mar 2012 26.38 2.87
Apr 2012 29.75 2.94
May 2012 29.12 2.69
Jun 2012 31.58 2.96
Jul 2012 32.26 2.97
Aug 2012 30.13 3.03
Sep 2012 31.98 3.13
Oct 2012 28.70 3.08
Nov 2012 29.59 3.26
Dec 2012 31.34 3.27
Jan 2013 28.72 3.24
Feb 2013 30.65 3.38
Mar 2013 32.80 3.44
Apr 2013 33.75 3.74
May 2013 35.80 3.61
Jun 2013 34.42 3.83
Jul 2013 38.98 3.67
Aug 2013 40.88 3.65
Sep 2013 38.25 3.59
Oct 2013 36.95 3.39
Nov 2013 37.50 3.42
Dec 2013 37.50 3.36
Jan 2014 38.50 3.56
Feb 2014 37.27 3.81
Mar 2014 37.70 3.58
Apr 2014 41.03 3.52
May 2014 41.08 3.62
Jun 2014 40.63 3.54
Jul 2014 36.13 3.48
Aug 2014 34.25 3.21
Sep 2014 33.51 3.42
Oct 2014 29.61 3.70
Nov 2014 27.56 3.58
Dec 2014 28.14 3.48
Jan 2015 30.28 3.86
Feb 2015 35.46 4.03
Mar 2015 35.03 3.59
Apr 2015 35.39 3.58
May 2015 34.85 3.39
Jun 2015 34.22 3.47
Jul 2015 36.36 3.24
Aug 2015 34.47 3.31
Sep 2015 35.52 3.54
Oct 2015 35.87 3.54
Nov 2015 37.66 3.90
Dec 2015 40.00 4.22
Jan 2016 34.64 3.85
Feb 2016 34.52 3.67
Mar 2016 35.58 3.75
Apr 2016 36.11 3.58
May 2016 34.92 3.47
Jun 2016 33.49 3.24
Jul 2016 33.33 3.77
Aug 2016 33.33 4.25
Crash Index - Individual
Date Index Value Standard Error
Oct 1989 41.59 4.64
Oct 1996 33.08 4.13
Apr 1999 34.59 3.77
Oct 1999 32.29 4.77
Apr 2000 30.25 4.21
Oct 2000 38.89 6.63
Apr 2001 32.93 5.19
Jul 2001 31.40 5.00
Aug 2001 32.26 4.85
Sep 2001 30.19 4.46
Oct 2001 35.05 4.84
Nov 2001 33.33 4.42
Dec 2001 36.57 4.16
Jan 2002 40.23 3.72
Feb 2002 38.76 3.37
Mar 2002 40.57 3.14
Apr 2002 39.37 3.07
May 2002 40.71 3.27
Jun 2002 39.59 3.48
Jul 2002 35.59 3.60
Aug 2002 34.36 3.72
Sep 2002 31.33 3.79
Oct 2002 29.56 3.62
Nov 2002 28.95 3.68
Dec 2002 32.14 3.60
Jan 2003 35.79 3.48
Feb 2003 36.51 3.50
Mar 2003 35.75 3.33
Apr 2003 35.96 3.60
May 2003 41.90 3.40
Jun 2003 40.69 3.44
Jul 2003 41.01 3.69
Aug 2003 44.38 3.72
Sep 2003 48.15 3.93
Oct 2003 48.88 3.75
Nov 2003 43.40 3.93
Dec 2003 41.18 3.98
Jan 2004 39.16 3.79
Feb 2004 39.52 3.78
Mar 2004 38.07 3.66
Apr 2004 40.46 3.73
May 2004 41.18 3.77
Jun 2004 40.21 3.57
Jul 2004 42.08 3.65
Aug 2004 40.56 3.66
Sep 2004 41.73 4.18
Oct 2004 37.14 4.08
Nov 2004 36.42 3.92
Dec 2004 39.33 3.99
Jan 2005 38.93 3.99
Feb 2005 38.62 4.04
Mar 2005 39.20 3.68
Apr 2005 40.33 3.65
May 2005 43.93 3.77
Jun 2005 44.83 3.77
Jul 2005 44.07 3.73
Aug 2005 45.76 3.74
Sep 2005 44.81 4.01
Oct 2005 45.75 4.03
Nov 2005 46.21 4.14
Dec 2005 47.59 4.15
Jan 2006 47.52 4.21
Feb 2006 44.52 4.11
Mar 2006 46.99 3.87
Apr 2006 48.61 4.17
May 2006 46.34 4.50
Jun 2006 43.36 4.66
Jul 2006 40.74 4.23
Aug 2006 41.79 4.26
Sep 2006 39.23 4.28
Oct 2006 38.73 4.09
Nov 2006 42.07 3.85
Dec 2006 39.11 3.65
Jan 2007 39.74 3.98
Feb 2007 36.91 3.95
Mar 2007 35.21 4.01
Apr 2007 33.73 3.67
May 2007 29.94 3.54
Jun 2007 29.48 3.47
Jul 2007 30.25 2.98
Aug 2007 29.89 2.83
Sep 2007 30.00 2.84
Oct 2007 29.17 2.48
Nov 2007 28.37 2.37
Dec 2007 31.11 2.35
Jan 2008 29.18 2.21
Feb 2008 30.16 2.19
Mar 2008 30.08 2.09
Apr 2008 29.27 2.32
May 2008 29.85 2.31
Jun 2008 27.50 2.23
Jul 2008 26.49 2.41
Aug 2008 25.99 2.52
Sep 2008 25.82 2.80
Oct 2008 24.75 2.51
Nov 2008 20.69 2.38
Dec 2008 17.72 2.40
Jan 2009 18.22 2.46
Feb 2009 15.90 2.37
Mar 2009 15.38 2.18
Apr 2009 14.57 2.50
May 2009 18.67 3.02
Jun 2009 22.07 2.84
Jul 2009 25.00 3.16
Aug 2009 28.10 3.10
Sep 2009 33.03 3.16
Oct 2009 31.41 2.79
Nov 2009 29.73 2.66
Dec 2009 31.56 2.98
Jan 2010 31.87 2.82
Feb 2010 32.06 2.88
Mar 2010 29.84 2.91
Apr 2010 32.00 3.11
May 2010 34.13 3.29
Jun 2010 33.49 3.24
Jul 2010 30.92 3.21
Aug 2010 27.88 2.98
Sep 2010 28.28 3.20
Oct 2010 28.96 3.05
Nov 2010 26.78 2.86
Dec 2010 25.85 3.06
Jan 2011 26.11 3.51
Feb 2011 28.18 3.03
Mar 2011 28.07 2.66
Apr 2011 27.90 2.70
May 2011 28.86 2.89
Jun 2011 28.37 2.68
Jul 2011 27.97 2.55
Aug 2011 25.54 2.87
Sep 2011 21.18 2.87
Oct 2011 17.22 2.61
Nov 2011 16.91 2.61
Dec 2011 18.43 2.43
Jan 2012 20.98 2.41
Feb 2012 24.75 2.51
Mar 2012 27.24 2.57
Apr 2012 29.11 2.66
May 2012 29.60 2.55
Jun 2012 32.28 2.93
Jul 2012 30.67 2.99
Aug 2012 29.78 3.05
Sep 2012 28.91 3.12
Oct 2012 26.53 3.15
Nov 2012 25.79 3.17
Dec 2012 23.67 2.95
Jan 2013 24.02 2.99
Feb 2013 22.12 2.82
Mar 2013 25.35 2.98
Apr 2013 27.27 3.26
May 2013 29.00 3.21
Jun 2013 33.18 3.22
Jul 2013 35.14 3.20
Aug 2013 37.20 3.36
Sep 2013 35.45 3.23
Oct 2013 36.11 3.03
Nov 2013 36.48 3.08
Dec 2013 36.99 3.26
Jan 2014 37.61 3.28
Feb 2014 37.70 3.51
Mar 2014 36.57 3.28
Apr 2014 37.74 3.33
May 2014 38.92 3.42
Jun 2014 35.29 3.21
Jul 2014 32.52 3.26
Aug 2014 33.93 3.16
Sep 2014 33.85 3.42
Oct 2014 30.91 3.60
Nov 2014 31.38 3.38
Dec 2014 35.60 3.46
Jan 2015 38.46 3.74
Feb 2015 37.37 3.44
Mar 2015 37.31 3.41
Apr 2015 37.44 3.33
May 2015 35.61 3.34
Jun 2015 36.63 3.39
Jul 2015 34.70 3.22
Aug 2015 31.46 3.18
Sep 2015 30.62 3.19
Oct 2015 29.06 3.19
Nov 2015 32.09 3.41
Dec 2015 27.03 3.65
Jan 2016 25.29 3.33
Feb 2016 28.00 3.39
Mar 2016 29.59 3.51
Apr 2016 31.37 3.25
May 2016 28.77 3.11
Jun 2016 29.39 2.81
Jul 2016 30.80 3.08
Aug 2016 30.68 3.48